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Loans through the end of 2026: rates likely to stay stable, approvals a little easier

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Mutuo / Understanding loans / Market outlook
Mutuo’s outlook for borrowers

How will loan interest rates change in Switzerland? Mutuo expects rates to stay roughly the same through the end of 2026. We also expect loan applications to have a slightly better chance of approval.

Updated: Outlook: Mutuo AGReading time: about 6 minutes
Hand holding a smartphone with a symbolic loan comparison in front of the Swiss Alps – AI-generated illustration
Comparing loans in Switzerland · AI-generated illustration
Interest rates · Mutuo forecastBroadly stable

Our outlook for personal loans from October to December 2026.

Approvals · Mutuo forecastSlight improvement expected

Slightly better chances expected. Each application is assessed individually.

SNB · As at 24 September 20260% policy rate

The SNB left its policy rate unchanged on 24 September. [1]

01 / KEY POINTS

What to know before applying for a loan

  • Rates are likely to stay similar: Mutuo does not expect major changes in interest rates across the market in the coming months.
  • Chances could improve slightly: People with a steady salary who can comfortably afford their repayments could have a slightly better chance of approval.
  • Comparing is still worthwhile: Banks do not all assess a loan application in the same way.
  • The loan must be affordable: After rent, health insurance, other bills and existing repayments, you must have enough money left to repay the loan.
02 / INTEREST RATE OUTLOOK

Why Mutuo expects stable loan rates

On 24 September 2026, the Swiss National Bank kept its policy rate at 0%. In August, prices were on average 0.8% higher than a year earlier. The SNB still expects limited price increases, although it now anticipates a slightly stronger rise. [1]

For Mutuo, this suggests that personal loan rates will stay roughly the same from October to December. This is our assessment. The SNB is not predicting the rates that individual banks will charge.

Mutuo outlook · October to December 2026

Loan interest rates: broadly stable

OctoberNovemberDecember

FallingStable · expectedRising
Mutuo’s assessment as at 30 September 2026. The line illustrates our expectation: rates staying roughly the same. It does not show measured interest rates.

The policy rate alone does not determine a loan’s interest rate. Banks have their own costs. They also assess how likely a person is to repay the loan. A bank can therefore change its rates even if the SNB policy rate stays the same.

Things could develop differently, for example if energy becomes more expensive, international conflicts worsen or the economy slows. The SNB also highlights these uncertainties. [1]

03 / LOAN APPROVAL

Loan applications: chances could improve slightly.

Mutuo expects loan applications to have a slightly better chance of approval in the coming months. A regular salary, enough money left after fixed expenses and a good record of paying on time remain important.

Mutuo outlook · Q4 2026

Approval chances: slight improvement expected

More difficultUnchangedSlightly better ↗

This is Mutuo’s assessment. We have not carried out a survey of banks. It does not mean that all banks are easing their rules or that every application will be approved.

So far, rejections have tended to increase: according to ZEK, around 36 out of 100 applications were rejected in 2024 and around 37 out of 100 in 2025. For 2026, Mutuo estimates the share of rejected personal loan applications at 32% — around 32 out of 100 applications. This is an estimate, not a confirmed annual figure. ZEK’s figures also include leasing and credit cards, so comparisons are limited. [2]

Past figures and Mutuo’s estimate

How many loan applications are rejected?

2023

30.8%

2024

35.5%

2025

37.0%

2026

32.0%

2026: Mutuo estimate for personal loan applications

0%25%50%
2023–2025: ZEK figures for loans, leasing and credit cards. [2] 2026: Mutuo estimate for personal loan applications, as at 30 September 2026; not a measured annual result. The figures are therefore only partly comparable. They do not predict whether your application will be approved.

Choosing the right bank still matters. Each bank has its own lending rules. Mutuo reviews your situation and helps you look for a suitable loan from its partner banks.

04 / COMPARE COSTS

Even with stable rates, comparing is worthwhile

Even if interest rates stay similar, offers can differ between banks. Compare the effective annual interest rate, the number of monthly payments and the total cost of the loan. These examples show the difference that interest rates can make.

Calculation examples: interest costs with fixed monthly payments
Loan / Term At 5% effective a year At 8% effective a year Difference
CHF 10’00048 months CHF 1’029.93 CHF 1’655.41 CHF 625.47
CHF 50’00060 months CHF 6’461.20 CHF 10’429.16 CHF 3’967.97

Mutuo calculation example, not a loan offer. Monthly interest rate = (1 + effective annual interest rate)1/12 − 1; first payment after one month. Excludes fees and insurance. Amounts are rounded only at the end of the calculation. The rates are examples, not guaranteed offers.

Compare the same repayment term

Repaying over a longer period often means paying less each month. But you may pay more interest overall.

Review your current loan

A new loan can replace an existing one. This may be worthwhile if the total remaining repayment cost goes down, including all relevant charges.

05 / SWISS RULES

The bank must check that you can afford the loan

Since 1 January 2026, banks may charge a maximum annual interest rate of 10% on cash loans covered by the Swiss Consumer Credit Act. This is the legal limit, not the usual price of a loan. For overdraft credit, including certain credit card debts, the limit is 12%. [3]

For these loans, the bank must generally check whether you could repay the loan within 36 months. This also applies if your contract provides for a longer repayment period. This legal check remains mandatory even when interest rates change. [4]

Choose a loan whose payments you can continue to afford in the future.
Your next step

Which loan is right for you?

Find out with Mutuo which loan suits your income and expenses. We offer personal advice. Your enquiry comes with no obligation.

Explore my loan options →A loan must not be granted if it would cause the borrower to become over-indebted.

06 / FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Frequently asked questions

Will personal loan rates fall by the end of 2026?

Mutuo expects interest rates to stay roughly the same. Some banks may offer better deals. For now, we do not expect significantly lower rates across all banks.

Does a 0% SNB policy rate mean an interest-free loan?

No. Banks must cover their own costs and allow for the fact that some loans are not repaid in full. They therefore charge interest on personal loans even when the policy rate is 0%.

Is it easier to get a loan approved now?

We expect slightly better chances. That does not mean all banks have relaxed their rules. Your income, expenses and the bank’s rules remain important.

Does a good salary guarantee a low-cost loan?

No. The bank also looks at your expenses, existing debts and whether you have paid your bills and instalments on time. A high salary alone is not enough.

Should I wait for lower rates before applying for a loan?

We do not currently expect a sharp general fall in loan rates. More important questions are: do you really need the loan, can you afford the repayments and is the specific offer right for you?

Sources and context

Source documents are in German.

  1. Swiss National Bank: monetary policy assessment of 24 September 2026. Policy rate, inflation and economic risks.
  2. ZEK: 2025 annual report, section 6.5 “Transaction volume”. Share of rejected applications in previous years.
  3. Swiss Confederation / FDJP: maximum interest rate for consumer credit reduced from 1 January 2026. Press release dated 31 October 2025.
  4. Swiss Federal Consumer Credit Act, particularly Article 28. Statutory assessment of the ability to repay a loan.

As at 30 September 2026. The outlook covers October to December 2026. Expectations about interest rates and loan approvals are Mutuo’s own, not the result of a survey of banks. The estimate of 32% of personal loan applications being rejected refers to 2026. No statistical analysis is presented to support this estimate. Earlier ZEK figures also include leasing and credit cards. The forecast graphics show expectations; the cost comparison shows calculation examples.

Main image: AI-generated illustration. Design and charts created for Mutuo. This article does not constitute an individual loan approval.


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Repräsentatives Rechenbeispiel:
10‘000 CHF 12 Monate Laufzeit:
Der Zins (Gesamtkosten) sind zwischen CHF 240 und CHF 574. Der Zinssatz 4.5 % – 11.95 %.
Die Rate ist zwischen CHF 855.- und CHF 868. im Monat.
Die Kreditvergabe ist verboten, falls diese zur Überschuldung führt. (Art. 3 UWG).